Thursday 3 August 2023

Of Bismark, Russia, the Crimea, WW1, the Ukraine, Croatia, Hungary and WW3

Do you interest yourself in old history?  My question for the no-sayers is why not?  For understanding European issues and forming public opinion to pressure the London hawks can be anything but “not our affair”.  Read on.

The Ukrainian grain deal with Croatia

DAD has mentioned this one this morning in another place:
Ukraine and Croatia have struck a deal that would allow the export of Ukrainian grain from Croatia’s ports on the Danube and the Adriatic Sea.

Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba tweeted the news on Monday, July 31st after talks in Kyiv with his Croatian counterpart, Gordan Grlić-Radman.

https://europeanconservative.com/articles/news/ukrainian-grain-to-flow-from-croatias-ports/
The one I’m commenting on is the Croatian grain deal … it’s logical, both geographically and politically. 
If there is ever another war in Europe, it will come out of some damned silly thing in the Balkans (Bismark quoted in the Commons Aug 16th, 1945)
Putin has stopped grain out of Odessa, therefore the Ukraine needs to get that grain to African warlords somehow … simple … overland to Croatia. What do you know about Croatian history?  

Well one thing is that the two nations bristling with nazis are the Ukraine and Croatia.  Do you remember Croatia v Serbia?  This also brings in Bavaria but that’s for another post. Plus EU grain would be connected to all that.

So, the obvious question is … will Putin strafe Croatian ports?  It is not a minor headline to be forgotten tomorrow … it is a catalyst, a pretext for all-in war.
The assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand was an important event because it led to Austria-Hungary declaring war on Serbia*, and when Russia sided with Serbia, Germany declared war on them, this meant France and Britain also became involved because of the Triple-Entente treaty.
Do not dismiss Serbia from this equation and who supports whom in Europe, plus Orban becomes even more important now.  The British hierarchy’s attitude is also important … remember the Crimean war?

* Pretext anyway, let’s not further complicate this.

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